IWT CANCELLATION: NO IMMEDIATE IMPACT ON PAKISTAN

Seeming Impact of Cancelling Indus Water Treaty (IWT) Is Illusion Without Leverage

Why Cancelling the Indus Waters Treaty, Won’t Hurt Pakistan Today — But Could Tomorrow

THE ILLUSION

“PAKISTAN IS IMPACTED, WATER STILL FREELY FLOWING THROUGH PIPES”

WHY CANCELLING IWT IS ONLY SYMBOLIC

Here's the hard truth:

·     India has no large dams on the Indus

·     No diversion canals, no storage systems

·     No infrastructure to actually withhold water from Pakistan

The treaty is cancelled, the water still flows freely into Pakistan. India has had a press release. Pakistan will enjoy the harvest.

Years to Wait, before Illusion Turns Reality

Cancellation of IWT only matters if India can physically control the water. Not until India builds that capacity. It is like waving a sword with no blade.

Yes, India has done the right thing cancelling the treaty. But it will have to wait till it has the tools to make Pakistan sweat.

THE LEVERAGE

“EXPEDITE BUILDING LEVERS OF POWER”

Given Pakistan sponsored terrorism has been there for decades, India has been slow at developing bloodless weapon that could make Pakistan’s economy bleed

How India Must Weaponize Water?

1. Storage Dams on Chenab, Jhelum & Indus

• Fast-track Ratle (Expec Completion 2026), Pakal Dul ((Expec Completion 2026)), Sawalkote

• Initiate storage on Indus in Ladakh — even modest projects shift the seasonal balance

• Convert "run-of-the-river" to "pause-and-push" systems

2. Diversion Canals & Interlinking

• Use Indus tributaries for Indian agriculture or hydro-use

• Design internal water-looping within J&K to soak up the excess

• Strategic canal design = seasonal choke points downstream

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS

Symbolism Doesn't Scare States. Scarcity Does.

Cancelling the treaty today is just theatre. Cancelling it after India can hold the water is economic warfare. That’s deterrence. That’s power